When the sky is falling…
To say that 2008 will go down as one of the most tumultuous economic years in history would be an understatement. 25 US banks failed including 2 of the largest bank failures in US history. The largest US bankruptcy filing ever, occurred in September, with the $639B chapter 11 filing of Lehman Brothers Holdings. To broaden the carnage, housing starts, business confidence, durable goods shipments, corporate debt issuance, industrial production, commercial paper underwriting, auto sales, M & A activity, employment growth, consumer confidence, IPOs, Wall Street bonuses, consumer spending, and the US equity markets all posted record declines of one form or another. Yield on the 1 month Treasury bill reached a mind-bending negative 0.15% and the US government took on a record $10 trillion dollars in additional liabilities or asset guarantees. Shares of major EMS companies reached valuation levels never before seen in the public markets, trading as low as a 1% to 3% multiple on sales and an astonishing 80% discount to book value. As of the writing of this blog, a staggering 1,276 publicly traded stocks in North America are trading at a discount to the cash that they have on their balance sheet.
